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New Face at The Center!

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At The Center, we love hiring promising student leaders and accomplished young professionals. That being said, we’re thrilled to welcome our newest team member, Hassan Elamine, as our 2022 summer intern! Hassan works primarily with the Investment and Financial Planning Departments to complete research projects, mutual fund performance reporting, and special Client Service based work. Below is a quick introduction to get to know him better!

My name is Hassan Elamine, and I'm the new Summer Intern here at The Center! I wanted to introduce myself as, hopefully, we'll be working together soon. I'm currently a junior at Wayne State University. More specifically, I'm attending the Mike Ilitch School of Business and double majoring in Finance and Supply Chain Management. In my spare time, I'm a high school coach that works with wrestlers to build a unified wrestling organization. My goal is to give them a safe place to connect with other wrestlers while progressing their technique during the off-season. I'm excited to take advantage of this wonderful opportunity with The Center to learn as much as possible while building relationships with such a close-knit team!

Hassan started in the beginning of June, so if you get a call from him or see him around the office, don’t be afraid to say “hi!”

Welcome to The Center family, Hassan!

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The Center to Observe Upcoming Juneteenth Holiday

 

Lauren Adams Contributed by: Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®

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Shatara King Contributed by: Shatara King

The Center is proud to announce that it will be observing Juneteenth as a new holiday going forward.

What is this new holiday? In 2021, Congress overwhelmingly voted to make Juneteenth – the holiday commemorating the abolition of slavery – the 12th federal holiday. This makes Juneteenth the first new federal holiday since Martin Luther King Jr. Day was signed into law in 1983.

Juneteenth (which stands for “June nineteenth”) commemorates the day in 1865 that federal troops arrived in Galveston, Texas – months after the end of the civil war— to take control of the state and ensure that all enslaved people be freed. This came over two years after the signing of the Emancipation Proclamation. Although emancipation didn’t happen overnight for all the enslaved people in Texas, celebrations broke out among the newly freed, and Juneteenth was born. Slavery was formally abolished with the adoption of the 13th Amendment in December 1865.

This year, Juneteenth will be observed on Monday, June twentieth. The Center, Raymond James, and public trading markets, including the NYSE, NASDAQ, and bond markets, will all be closed in observance of this new holiday.

Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®, is a Partner, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional, and Director of Operations at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She works with clients and their families to achieve their financial planning goals.

Shatara King is a Client Service Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has a Bachelor of Science in Human Resource Development from Oakland University and also serves as the Chair of The Center’s Diversity & Inclusion Committee.

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Q1 2022 Investment Commentary

The Center Contributed by: Center Investment Department

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Spring of 2022 feels as though it is bringing in a new wave of hope. There appears to be at least a reprieve (maybe nearing an end?) to the pandemic here in the U.S, and economic re-openings seem only to be limited by the number of staff members businesses can hire. However, the first quarter also brought many other headlines, including a severe escalation of the Russia/Ukraine conflict, increased oil prices and inflation, and higher interest rates.

It has been a rocky start to the year with a diversified portfolio ending -5.34% (40% Bloomberg US Agg Bond TR (Bonds), 40% S&P 500 TR (US Large company stocks), and 20% MSCI EAFE NR (Developed International)). There seemed to be nowhere to hide this quarter as volatility was present worldwide in equities and the fixed income markets.

Source: Morningstar Direct

Is This Market Decline Normal?

This chart shows intra-year stock market declines (red dot and number) and the market’s return for the full year (gray bar). A couple of takeaways from the below chart are important:

  • The market is capable of recovering from intra-year drops and finishing the year in positive territory.

  • This year’s correction thus far does not stick out as anything other than normally experienced corrections, even though the reasons for it may not feel normal.

Source: FactSet, Standard & Poor’s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management (Returns based on price index only and do not include dividends.  Intra-year drops refer to the largesrtmarket drops from peak to trough during the year)

Yield Curve Inversion

You may have read that the yield curve briefly inverted toward the end of the quarter after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in this newest interest rate cycle. If not, check out our blog.

Historically, an inverted yield curve has been a signal for a coming recession. Imperfect of a signal as it is, we do take notice. This is one of several parameters we utilize at The Center for making portfolio decisions. The good news is, there is usually time before a recession hits if it does. Now that this signal has been triggered, we have a series of other signals we watch for before determining any appropriate action. Next, we seek to follow through on the economy and technical analysis because, as the chart below shows, the S&P 500 can continue to deliver positive returns (over 3, 6, 12, and 24 months) after the yield curve inverts but before recession strikes.

Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

While we may not be able to control if a recession occurs or not, we certainly can help you prepare. Here is a checklist of potential action items to consider when they happen. Many of which we take care of for you already. Any questions? Don’t hesitate to reach out!

Is Inflation Sticky?

The answer is…it depends. It depends on which contributors to inflation you are looking at. Energy is a good example. The price of a barrel of oil had a large spike (up 30%) and pullback (down 25%) all during the month of March caused by the Russia/Ukraine conflict and sanctions put in place against Russia who is a large exporter of oil (especially to Europe). Before the Russia/Ukraine conflict, energy prices rose steadily with the economic re-opening and supply limitations put in place by OPEC. This volatile component can become a large detractor just as quickly as it became a large contributor. This is why the Federal Reserve prefers to filter this noise out for its decision-making purpose and focus more on Core CPI numbers instead that eliminate food and energy due to their volatile nature. As the year continues, we may see inflation coming from the green, red, and purple areas below start to abate, leaving us with roughly 4-5% inflation (still above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%).

Source: BLS, J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Russia/Ukraine Conflict

We will speak for everyone in saying that we are saddened by the tragic events taking place overseas in Ukraine. We continue to hope for a quick, peaceful resolution.

Markets have been increasingly volatile as the conflict unfolds, but the U.S. stock market has been shockingly positive since Russia invaded Ukraine. The one-month period from February 24th to March 24th showed the S&P 500 up ~5%. Or maybe that is not shocking when you look at how markets typically react to global conflicts. If you attended our investment event in February, you would have already seen this data. Still, the average time it has taken the market to recover from geopolitical conflict-induced drawdowns is only 47 days.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is shaking up stock markets, commodity markets, and providing even more uncertainty to domestic inflation and monetary/fiscal policy. During these times, it is important to remember that financial plans are built to withstand uncertainties. Diversification is more important now than ever. We will continue to monitor these events and keep you informed as we make decisions that may or may not affect investment allocations.

Key Takeaways

To summarize, here is what happened in the first quarter:

  • Stocks and bonds struggled because of inflationary pressures.

  • Commodity-linked sectors and countries benefitted, but on the other hand, growth assets and commodity importers struggled.

  • Lastly, stating the obvious, the war in Ukraine has had a negative impact on Europe.

Now that we understand what happened, we are sure you want to know how we are responding.

  1. We are monitoring our parameters to identify (if or) when it is necessary to adjust your bond to equity ratio and add duration back into the portfolio. Speaking of which, our parameters are telling us short bonds are still appropriate for investors. Remember, the higher the duration, the more a bond’s value will fall as interest rates rise. Consequently, we are maintaining a sleeve of your bond position in short-duration investments.

  2. We are taking advantage of market volatility by tax-loss harvesting. Tax-loss harvesting helps minimize what you pay in capital gains taxes by offsetting your income.

  3. Finally, we routinely review portfolios and rebalance them to capture cheap buying opportunities.

If you would like to gather more insight, we will include links to our most recent investment event and blogs. As always, we are here for you. Don’t hesitate to give us a call!

Explore More…

March FOMC Meeting: Rate Liftoff

Economic and Investment Outlook Webinar 2022

How Do I Prepare my Portfolio for Inflation?

Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be authorized by the company's board of directors. Special Purpose Acquisition Companies may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should be familiar with the unique characteristics, risks and return potential of SPACs, including the risk that the acquisition may not occur or that the customer's investment may decline in value even if the acquisition is completed. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance is not a guarantee or a predictor of future results. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

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Sandy Adams and Matt Chope's Center-versary

Click on the image above to view a video of Sandy and Matt!

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This year marks 25 years that both Sandy Adams, CFP® and Matt Chope, CFP® have been at The Center. Over those years, they've made a tremendous impact on our clients, our team members, and the firm itself.

Sandy Adams specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and works with generations of families including older adults, their children, and grandchildren. She also works with those going through stressful life transitions such as the death of a spouse, divorce, or job loss.

Sandy is a frequent speaker at conferences, actively volunteers with local nonprofits, and regularly contributes to various blogs, journals, and publications. She has also been nationally recognized by Forbes as a Top Woman Wealth Advisor in both 2021 and 2020.

Matt Chope helps individuals and families with financial planning, in addition to working with local corporations and non-profits on business management decisions. With his interests in economics and financial markets, Matt is also a valued member of the firm's investment committee.

Matt has earned a place on Forbes’ Best-In-State Wealth Advisors List in Michigan for 2021 for the third year in a row. He is a member of multiple public and professional groups, is a trusted source for investment-related publications, and oversees and manages several local endowments.

We couldn't be happier to recognize and celebrate such a huge milestone for Sandy and Matt. Congratulations to the both of you!

The Forbes ranking of America's Top 1,000 Women Wealth Advisors, developed by SHOOK Research, is based on an algorithm of qualitative and quantitative data, rating thousands of wealth advisors with a minimum of 7 years of experience and weighing factors like revenue trends, AUM, compliance records, industry experience and best practices learned through telephone and in-person interviews. Portfolio performance is not a criteria due to varying client objectives and lack of audited data. Research Summary (as of February 2021): 32,810 nominations were received based on thresholds (9,785 women) and 1,000 won; (as of April 2020): 32,000 nominations were received based on thresholds (9,654 women) and 1,000 won. This ranking is not indicative of advisor's future performance, is not an endorsement, and may not be representative of individual clients' experience. Neither Forbes nor SHOOK receive a fee in exchange for rankings. Raymond James is not affiliated with Forbes or Shook Research, LLC. Please visit https://www.forbes.com/top-women-advisors for more information.

The Forbes ranking of Best-In-State Wealth Advisors, developed by SHOOK Research, is based on an algorithm of qualitative criteria, mostly gained through telephone and in-person due diligence interviews, and quantitative data. Those advisors that are considered have a minimum of seven years of experience, and the algorithm weights factors like revenue trends, assets under management, compliance records, industry experience and those that encompass best practices in their practices and approach to working with clients. Portfolio performance is not a criteria due to varying client objectives and lack of audited data. Out of approximately 32,725 nominations, more than 5,000 advisors received the award. This ranking is not indicative of an advisor's future performance, is not an endorsement, and may not be representative of individual clients' experience. Neither Raymond James nor any of its Financial Advisors or RIA firms pay a fee in exchange for this award/rating. Raymond James is not affiliated with Forbes or Shook Research, LLC. Please visit https://www.forbes.com/best-in-state-wealth-advisors for more info.

2020: 32,000 nominations with more than 4,000 advisors received the award.

2019: 29,334 nominations received and 3,477 received the award.

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Retirement Plan Contribution and Eligibility Limits for 2022

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Kelsey Arvai Contributed by: Kelsey Arvai, MBA

Robert Ingram Contributed by: Robert Ingram, CFP®

The IRS has released its updated figures for retirement account contribution and income eligibility limits. Here are the adjustments for 2022:

Employer retirement plan contribution limits including 401(k), 403(b), most 457 plans, and the federal government’s Thrift Savings Plan:

  • Employee elective deferral contribution limit is increased to $20,500 (up from $19,500).

  • IRA catch-up contribution limit for individuals over 50 remains unchanged at $1,000.

  • The total amount that can be contributed to a defined contribution plan including all contribution types (e.g., employee deferrals, employer matching, and profit-sharing) is $61,000 or $67,500 if over the age of 50 (increased from $58,000 or $64,500 for age 50+ in 2021).

􀁸 Traditional, Roth, SIMPLE, and SEP IRA contribution limits:

  • Individuals can contribute $14,000 to their SIMPLE retirement accounts (up from $13,500).

  • SIMPLE IRA catch-up contributions for individuals over 50 is $3,000.

  • Limit on annual IRA contributions remains unchanged at $6,000.

  • IRA catch-up contribution limit for individuals over 50 remains unchanged at $1,000.

The income ranges for determining eligibility to make deductible contributions to Traditional IRAs and contributions to Roth IRAs increased for 2022.

Traditional IRA deductibility income limits:

  • For single taxpayers covered by a workplace retirement plan, the phase-out range increased to $68,000 to $78,000 (up from $66,000 to $76,000).

  • Married filing jointly taxpayers:

    • If the spouse making the IRA contribution is covered by a workplace retirement plan, the phase-out range increased to $109,000 to $129,000 (up from $105,000 to $125,000).

    • For an IRA contributor who is not covered by a workplace retirement plan and is married to someone who is covered, the phase-out range increased to $204,000 to $214,000 (up from $198,000 to $208,000).

  • For married filing separately taxpayers who are covered by a workplace retirement plan, the phase-out range remains the same, $0 to $10,000.

Roth IRA contribution income limits:

  • For single taxpayers and Head of Household, the income phase-out range is increased to $129,000 to $144,000 (up from $125,000 to $140,000).

  • For married filing jointly, the income phase-out range is increased to $204,000 to $214,000 (up from $198,000 to $208,000).

  • For married filing separately, the income phase-out range remains unchanged at $0 to $10,000.

One strategy that has been used to accumulate dollars in a Roth IRA, even if your income level prohibits you from making regular contributions, is to accumulate non-deductible Traditional IRA contributions and then use Roth IRA conversions to move funds to the Roth IRA. This is known as the so-called “backdoor Roth IRA.” For individuals with an employer retirement savings plan, like a 401k or 403(b), that allows after-tax contributions in addition to the typical pre-tax or Roth contributions, there may be an opportunity to convert those after-tax contributions to a Roth IRA as well.

We continue to follow the proposed Build Back Better legislation going through Congress, and it’s probably not a big surprise that this continues, and will continue, to evolve. It still may be too early to tell, but it’s possible that these types of “back-door Roth IRA” strategies will go away starting in 2022.

These strategies would no longer be allowed under the proposed tax law changes in the Build Back Better plan. This year may be your last chance to use these strategies, so keep them on your radar. You can check out our blogs on “Back-Door Roth IRA” HERE and on the “Build Back Better plan” HERE.

Health Savings Account (HSA) contribution limits for 2022:

  • For those with an individual high deductible health plan, HSA annual deductible contribution limit is $3,650.

  • For those with a family HDHP, HSA annual deductible contribution limit is $7,300.

With increased retirement savings opportunities in 2022, we encourage you to keep these figures in mind when reviewing and updating your financial plan. If you have any questions, please feel free to reach out; we love to help! We hope you have a happy and healthy holiday season!

Kelsey Arvai, MBA, is a Client Service Associate at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She facilitates back office functions for clients.

Robert Ingram, CFP®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® With more than 15 years of industry experience, he is a trusted source for local media outlets and frequent contributor to The Center’s “Money Centered” blog.

Please note, changes in tax laws may occur at any time and could have a substantial impact upon each person's situation. While we are familiar with the tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on tax or legal matters. You should discuss tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

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Non-Qualified Deferred Compensation Plans Explained

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Deferred Compensation plans can be a powerful tool to control income tax burden in a corporate executive’s highest-earning years. However, there are many trip hazards to be aware of when starting to contribute.

What is a deferred compensation plan, and who is it appropriate for?

A Non-Qualified Deferred Compensation Plan (NQDC) is a benefit plan offered by some employers to their higher-earning or ranking employees. It is exactly what it sounds like, a plan to defer compensation today to a future date.

This is advantageous to an employee who:

  • Is expecting to be in a high tax bracket now.

  • Is already fully funding their retirement savings plan(s).

  • Has a surplus in cash flow.

  • May foresee a time when their taxable income will be reduced.

What has to be decided upon ahead of time?

The employee and employer agree upon a salary amount or bonus to set aside. They will also select a date in the future to pay the employee their earned income. Both parties agree to when the funds will be received in the future, and it isn’t taxable income until the employee actually receives it.

Most employers require you to select your payout schedule (i.e., lump sum or spread out over 15 years) when you choose to defer a portion of your income. This can be a daunting choice because you may not know exactly when you will retire, what tax rates will be, or where you will live (impacting state taxes paid on the income) at the time you retire. Often, the employer allows you time when you can change this (usually about a year before you retire), but sometimes there are rules around this change. It is important to talk to your plan administrator or HR department to understand this more fully.

One large company provides an excellent example of a complicated change policy for their corporate plan. In this instance, you may change the number of years you spread payments of your deferred income, but you must do this 12 months before you start taking the payments (12 months before retiring). Additionally, you can only extend the payment terms, which delays the start of your payments by five years! See what we mean by potentially complicated?

What are the benefits of participating in a deferred compensation plan?

  • Deferring potential tax liability to a time when you may be in a lower tax bracket can provide tax savings.

  • Balance can be invested in a diversified portfolio to potentially grow tax-deferred compensation over many years.

  • It can provide a paycheck during a portion of your retirement.

  • The company may choose to match your contributions for an added benefit.

  • You may choose to retire in a state with lower or even no income taxes.

What are the potential drawbacks of participating in a deferred compensation plan?

  • Usually, no access to the funds before agreed-upon terms.

  • If you lose your job earlier than anticipated, you may be forced to take the total amount in a lump sum all at once, causing it to be possibly taxed in the highest tax bracket possible.

  • It cannot be rolled into an IRA.

  • Risk of forfeiture if the company goes bankrupt as the money isn’t explicitly set aside for the employee in most cases.

  • You may not have an option to change the payout schedule before retiring, and you may get the money either faster or slower than desired in retirement.

It is helpful to have a financial plan during the years when you are eligible to contribute to one. Mapping out possible retirement dates and planning appropriate payout timelines will be important for years leading into retirement, as your options may be limited if you wait until closer to retirement to start planning. This is where a financial planning professional can help! Don’t hesitate to reach out for more information!

Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has more than a decade of financial planning and insurance industry experience.

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

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Center Participates in Annual Walk to End Alzheimer’s

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Center Team members recently participated in the Walk to End Alzheimer’s in Brighton. The walk, sponsored by the Alzheimer’s Association of Michigan, raised funds and awareness for dementia, a disease that has and continues to impact our clients, client’s families, and team member’s families. Alzheimer’s and other dementias impact those diagnosed and their families so significantly from a psychological, emotional, and financial standpoint that we make substantial efforts at The Center to provide extra information, resources, and support to clients who may be impacted. Helping to raise awareness and funds for research is just one of the things we do!

If a client or family member were to receive a dementia diagnosis, we have helpful resources and action steps available here:

How to Reduce the Risks of Dementia and Diminished Capacity to Your Retirement Plan

A Dementia Diagnosis and Your Financial Plan

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2021 Third Quarter Investment Commentary

The Center Contributed by: Center Investment Department

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Crisp Air, Cool Breeze, Fall Leaves. All the things that Autumn brings here in Michigan. As the third quarter comes to a close and we enter the last quarter of 2021, we find a cool breeze passing through markets as volatility picks up - as is often the case in September and October. A diversified benchmark portfolio consisting of 60% stocks (split between U.S.-S&P 500 and International-MSCI EAFE) and 40% bonds (Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index) is up just over 7% year-to-date as of September 30th, with the S&P 500 leading the way at +15.9%, international stocks (MSCI EAFE) at +8.35%, and U.S. Aggregate Bonds at -1.55%.

Check out this video to recap some of our thoughts this quarter and continue to read below for some more detailed insight!

Volatility has picked up as the recovery appears to be in a holding pattern. Investors worry about the delta strain and are concerned about a surge in additional strains that could come with the winter flu season. Stock markets don’t have a clear driver of upward returns right now, and we are currently in the middle of two of the most challenging months (September and October) of the year historically for markets. Until September, the S&P 500 hadn’t experienced a 5% decline (which usually occurs 2-4 times per year) since October 2020. The market broke this long streak in late September. Headlines from the government, worry about bonds rates increasing, Chinese real estate headlines, and inflation fears have caused a pause in the steady upside we all had grown quite comfortable to!

It’s important to remember markets frequently experience short-term pullbacks. The below chart shows intra-year stock market declines (red dot and number), as well as the market’s return for the full year (gray bar). This chart shows us that the market is capable of recovering from intra-year drops and still finishing the year in positive territory, which helps us remember to stay the course even when markets get choppy!

Fed Tapering – Will It Cause Volatility?

Google searches on tapering peaked in late August and again in late September surrounding the Federal Reserve (the Fed) meeting. The Fed has fully telegraphed their intention to make this move that, likely, isn’t starting until late this year. It’s important to remember that tapering isn’t tightening. The Fed is lessening the rate they are buying government bonds. Investors wonder, “Will interest rates spike when they stop buying so much?” The answer is maybe. However, there won’t be as much debt being issued next year without fiscal stimulus as has been in the past year and a half. So, current buyers other than the Fed should be able to absorb supply. Also, U.S. Treasury bonds are still paying much more than other government’s bonds that are similar in quality. If rates go up, they will likely be met with headwinds because pension funds and other governments will want that increased yield buying the bonds and thus forcing rates back down again.

Over the summer, the Fed started to unwind the secondary market corporate credit facility that was announced early on in the pandemic to support corporate bonds and fixed income exchange-traded funds. The Fed’s holdings peaked at $14.2 Billion as the move quickly restored stability in markets at the time – March 2020 - and no further action was needed. They are planning the sales in an orderly fashion as not to disrupt markets.

Washington D.C. – A Game of Political Chicken

There have been a lot of headlines toward the end of the third quarter from the government, including government shutdown possibility, reconciliation, infrastructure bill, debt limit increase, and tax increase plans. 

First, the temporary funding bill and debt limit caused short-term volatility as investors were nervous that politicians not seeing eye-to-eye would cause another government shutdown or worse - default on U.S. debt. Fortunately, the President signed a bill funding the government through December 3rd, just hours before the deadline. You may not realize how often we have stood at this precipice before, though. According to the Congressional Research Service and MFS, “There have been 21 government shutdowns in history when our nation’s lawmakers failed to agree on spending bills to fund government outlays for a fiscal year that begins annually on October 1st. The most recent shutdown, a 35-day stoppage that ended on 1/25/19, was the longest closure in history. 11 of the 21 shutdowns lasted three days or less.” Interestingly enough, there are many similarities between now and 2013 when the FED was rolling out their plan for tapering, debt ceiling debate, and government shutdown. While what happened in the past isn’t necessarily what is going to happen now, we believe it offers a helpful perspective. You can see that in 2013 there was an uptick in volatility and a short-term market retreat, but overall the markets continued to move higher through year-end.

Source: Raymond James Chief Investment Officer, Larry Adam

Source: Raymond James Chief Investment Officer, Larry Adam

In September, we gained some clarity on the tax increase proposals to assist in paying for the infrastructure bill. Check out our blog on some of the details, as well as our upcoming webinar! Capital gains tax proposals can potentially disrupt markets in the near term, but the increase in those taxes would go into effect as of mid-September 2021 (retroactively). This is important because it prevents a rush of selling to harvest capital gains before an effective date.

China Headlines

Why has China and emerging markets lagged recently? China is the 2nd biggest economy in the world and the 2nd biggest equity market in the world. China represents 35% of the Emerging Market index, so when China lags, the entire asset class tends to lag too. Active management can be important in this area to navigate the complexities of these varying countries. China has shifted gears recently, choosing to focus on social stability (or “Common prosperity”) rather than pure growth as in the past. China’s Communist Party has turned its eye to the ultra-wealthy, politically outspoken citizens and technology usage.

Most alarmingly, however, has been Evergrande’s debt woes. Evergrande is one of China’s largest real estate developers with a massive amount of debt. They have been forced to sell off assets in order to meet debt repayments, which is having a ripple effect through their customers, suppliers, competitors, and employees. This is so impactful because one-third of China’s Gross Domestic Product is related to real estate. As you can see in the chart below, housing represents over three-quarters of financial assets in China versus a much lower percentage (less than one-third) here in the U.S.

Initially, there was fear of contagion spreading from the Chinese High Yield debt market to the U.S., but this hasn’t occurred.

We remain disciplined in the consistent and proactive execution of our investment process that is anchored in the fundamentals of asset allocation, rebalancing, and patience. From time to time, we may choose to express our forward-looking opinions of the state of stock and bond markets but always strive to do so without subjecting you to unnecessary risks. Even though we close this quarterly note similarly each time, please understand that we thank you for the trust you place in us to guide you through your investment journey!

We have more thoughts to share on investment current events coming soon. Stay tuned for our investment blogs about inflation hedges and Biden’s corporate tax rate proposal.

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be authorized by the company's board of directors. Special Purpose Acquisition Companies may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should be familiar with the unique characteristics, risks and return potential of SPACs, including the risk that the acquisition may not occur or that the customer's investment may decline in value even if the acquisition is completed. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance is not a guarantee or a predictor of future results. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

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Proactive Planning Moves for an Evolving Tax Environment

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Tim Wyman Contributed by: Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD

Lauren Adams Contributed by: Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®

Just about every financial decision and transaction that we make has an income tax component or consequence. With federal marginal rates currently as high as 37%, state income tax rates as high as 13%, and additional surcharges for high-income earners, being efficient with income tax planning is paramount in accumulating or conserving wealth.  

Moreover, President Biden is planning the first major federal tax hike since 1993 that appears likely to be passed this year, at least in part. If passed, tax measures would likely take effect in 2022, with the potential for some measures to be applied retroactively even into 2021. 

At The Center, we have a long history and experience working with our clients and their tax preparers to drive down tax costs as much as possible. Our planning team may address the following for our clients’ benefit:

Marginal Tax Rate: The marginal tax rate is the tax rate paid on the next or last dollar of income. Current federal marginal rates go from 10% up to 37%. Your current, and expected future, marginal rate provides insight into decisions such as accelerating or delaying income as well as whether municipal bonds or taxable bonds are most efficient. Your marginal bracket also determines what long-term capital gains rate is applied. The current highest marginal bracket is 37% (and current proposed tax legislation could raise the upper rate to 39.6%).

Average or Effective Tax Rate: In addition to your marginal tax rate, the average rate helps us understand your overall tax picture. To determine your average rate, divide the total tax paid by your total income. For example, one might be in the 35% marginal tax bracket, but their average tax rate might be closer to 25%.

Itemized vs. Standard Deduction: Are you itemizing deductions, or does the standard deduction provide a greater benefit? With current limitations on itemized deductions, such as state & local income taxes and real estate taxes capped at $10k, many find that they no longer itemize deductions unless they “bunch.” For instance, bunching may involve grouping five years’ worth of charitable donations into one year. Many people do this by gifting to a vehicle like a Donor Advised Fund so the tax deduction may be recognized immediately, but the funds then get divvied out to charity more slowly over time. Essentially, bunching itemized deductions, such as charitable gifts, every other or few years typically provides the most efficient tax strategy.

Long Term Capital Gains: Under current law, long-term capital gains (securities held longer than 12 months) receive preferential tax rates vs. ordinary income tax rates. There are three brackets 0%, 15%, and 20%. Current proposed tax legislation could raise this rate to 25% for the highest income earners.

Carry Forward Losses: The goal of investing is to make money. One strategy to use when an individual investment loses value is to “harvest the loss.” Harvesting losses can be valuable as they offset capital gains dollar for dollar. If you have extra or additional losses, up to $3,000/year can also be used to offset ordinary income. Ideally, this harvesting of losses should be done on an ongoing basis rather than only at the end of a quarter or year.

Qualified Dividends: Qualified dividends are dividends taxed at a long-term capital gains rate instead of your ordinary income tax rate, which is generally higher. All things being equal, we would rather have dividend income that is considered qualified to achieve greater tax efficiency.  

Roth Conversion Opportunities: Sometimes paying tax today versus later is a tax-efficient strategy. If you feel that you will be in a higher bracket later, or even that your beneficiaries may be at a higher tax bracket, full or partial Roth conversions can be employed to recognize that income today at a lower rate. Roth money can be used to provide tax-free and RMD free retirement income. Having Roth dollars also provides opportunities to optimize your current marginal bracket as part of a comprehensive retirement income plan. 

IRMAA Surcharges: Our tax code contains provisions that may be described as “hidden taxes.” One such tax includes the Medicare income-related monthly adjustment amount (or IRMAA), which is an extra surcharge based on your total income (specifically Modified Adjusted Gross Income). Meaning, depending upon your income, you might pay a higher premium for Medicare (Part B and D). For example, in 2021, a joint couple pays $148.50/month when their income is less than $176k. Once you go a dollar over, the premium now becomes $220.20/month per person and is added to your Medicare premiums – a hidden tax. There are additional thresholds, and the current maximum premium for those with income over $750k is a total of $582/month each. Managing brackets by limiting or decreasing income, such as using Qualified Charitable Distributions from an IRA, can reduce your surcharge.

Net Investment Income (NII) Tax: Another so-called hidden tax applies to single taxpayers with MAGI above $200k and $250k for couples filing jointly. Investment income over these thresholds contains an additional 3.8% tax. So, while the stated maximum capital gains rate is 20%, the highest long-term capital gains rate is actually 23.8% with the surtax (before taking state taxes into account).

Phase-outs: At last count, there are over 50 tax credits that may be available to taxpayers. Unfortunately, they are subject to a variety of income phase-outs, so careful planning is required.

The Biden tax plan, if passed, contains additional income and estate tax provisions that we are closely monitoring including, but not limited to:

  • New tax increases on households earning more than $400k, including upping the top tax rate to 39.6% and lowering the amount of income needed to reach that top bracket

  • Increasing the top long-term capital gains rate from 20% to 25% 

  • Restricting many tax and estate planning techniques, including backdoor Roth IRA conversions, the ability to convert pretax IRA dollars into Roth IRA dollars for high earners, and eliminating intentionally defective grantor trusts (a strategy used to move assets out of one’s taxable estate)

  • While the Biden plan appears to exclude any “wealth tax” such as proposed by Senator Elizabeth Warren, there may be changes to estate tax provisions such as decreasing the Estate Exemption Equivalent from $11.77M per person to $5M

  • Introducing and expanding additional child tax credits 

Lastly, we find that efficient tax planning considers not only your current year taxes, but a plan that considers several years or even several generations. Assuming an increase in individual (and corporate) tax rates, the stakes will be even higher and proper planning can help put more in your pocket.  

Stay tuned for an upcoming video message in November intended to keep you in the loop with proposed tax changes. Learn more about the American Families Tax Plan proposal HERE.

Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD, Timothy Wyman, CFP®, JD, is the Managing Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Tim earned a place on Forbes’ Best-In-State Wealth Advisors List in Michigan¹ in 2021 for the fourth consecutive year. He was also named a 2020 Financial Times 400 Top Financial Advisor² for the third consecutive year.

Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and Director of Operations at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She works with clients and their families to achieve their financial planning goals and also leads the client service, marketing, finance, and human resources departments.

While we are familiar with the tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on tax or legal matters. You should discuss tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional. Unless certain criteria are met, Roth IRA owners must be 59½ or older and have held the IRA for five years before tax-free withdrawals are permitted. Additionally, each converted amount may be subject to its own five-year holding period. Converting a traditional IRA into a Roth IRA has tax implications. Investors should consult a tax advisor before deciding to do a conversion.

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Biden’s “American Families Tax Plan” Proposal and How It Could Affect You

0921 JB_American Families Tax Plan.jpg

Josh Bitel Contributed by: Josh Bitel, CFP®

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Ever since President Joe Biden has taken office, there has been much talk about how the tax landscape may change. On September 13th, Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee released their new tax proposals. While the outcome may differ from the proposals listed below, we always want to keep you informed on proposed changes. Highlights are summarized below.

 New Top Ordinary Income Tax and Capital Gains Rate

Perhaps the most talked about piece of the proposal is the return of the 39.6% income tax bracket. This rate was previously in place from 2013-2017 but reduced to 37% with the Tax Cuts And Jobs Act of 2017. However, this new proposal does not simply replace the 37% bracket with the 39.6%. Instead, it reduces the amount of income a taxpayer can have before being placed in that top bracket. Single taxpayers making over $400,000 or married couples making over $450,000 will be in the new top bracket under this proposal.

 Along with ordinary income tax brackets, top capital gains tax brackets may also change. The major difference between this change and the ordinary income tax change is that (if approved) this will go into effect immediately and impact all capital gains from that point forward. In contrast, the ordinary income tax brackets won’t change until 2022. See the chart below for proposed capital gains tax changes.

Proposed Capital Gains Tax Changes

Proposed Capital Gains Tax Changes

Changes to Roth IRA Strategies

 This one may hurt more for advisors. If enacted, this part of the proposal prohibits converting after-tax dollars held in retirement accounts to Roth IRAs. In other words, the “backdoor Roth IRA” and the “Mega backdoor Roth IRA” would be left in the dust.

 Another proposed change would go a bit further. In 2032, Roth CONVERSIONS for high-income earners would be prohibited. Any single person earning over $400,000, or married couples earning over $450,000, would be impacted by this rule.

These are just a few of the many changes proposed by Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee. Of course, the actual bill may look drastically different than the proposals listed in this blog. Planners here at The Center will be sure to stay on top of any changes and keep you informed as they come out.

Josh Bitel, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He conducts financial planning analysis for clients and has a special interest in retirement income analysis.

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